Week In Review 10/10 - 10/17 & Notable Performer

A quiet week as far as racing is concerned in the Juvenile division.  No graded stakes over the weekend and none in the near future as attention is focused on preparations for the Breeders Cup// Currency Swap, impressive winner of the Hopeful (G1), was ruled out of the Juvenile (G1) with an ankle chip.  He’ll be pointed to the Fountain Of Youth (G2) at Gulfstream on February 26, if recovery goes as planned// Union Rags is the lone Derby favorite at 15-1 in the Wynn Las Vegas Sports book, with Creative Cause second choice at 18-1// Steve Haskin says the runners of the Breeders Futurity at Keeneland could make some noise further down the road.  He particular mentions Optimizer as a BC Juvenile upset shot, while I’m going to monitor Take Charge Indy’s dirt works// The prospective Breeders’ Cup Juvenile field did get a possible late contender with Fort Loudon’s impressive win in the In Reality Stakes at Calder Saturday. Owner Fred Brei believes Florida juveniles are just as good as those in the other circuits, but he’ll have a hard time getting backers considering the slow overall time and low speed figure from Saturday’s race.

Below is a list of probables and questionables for the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1), but be forewarned it changes every day:

Probable: Union Rags, Alpha, Creative Cause, Drill, Hansen

Questionable: Fort Loudon, Dullahan, J C’s Pride, Secret Circle, Prospective, Majestic City, Ruler of Dubai, Trinniberg, Big Blue Nation, Laurie’s Rocket, Basmati, Optimizer, Take Charge Indy.

Non-Graded Stakes
10/15/11 First State Dash- DEL- Winner: Jack’s In The Deck NP- chart
10/15/11 Cup And Saucer S.- WO- Winner: Hard Not To Like- chart
10/15/11 Keeneland 75th Anniversary S.- KEE- Winner: Luke Of York- chart
10/15/11 Juvenile S.- TDN- Winner: License To Bling- chart
10/15/11 FL Stallion In Reality S.- CRC- Fort Loudon- chart
10/15/11 WV V. Moscarelli Memorial Breeders' Classic- CT- Winner: Paco Smart- chart
10/15/11 El Joven S.- RET- Winner: Tequila Factor chart
10/16/11 Charlie Palmer Futurity- FNO- Winner: Longview Drive- chart

10/12/11 Creative Cause HOL- 5F- 59:40- H- 1/7
10/12/11 Tarpy's Goal BEL- 5F- 1.02:94- B- 11/14
10/13/11 Stark Ravin Mad HAW- 5F- 1.03:00- B- 1/4 (Good)
10/13/11 Drill SA- 4F- 46:60- H- 2/22
10/15/11 Scorpion Warrior HOL- 3F- 38:60 H- 9/11
10/15/11 Twelve Hundred HAW- 6F- 1.14:00 B- 1/2
10/16/11 Brown Eyed Jozi CD- 6F- 1.19:80 B- 4/5
10/16/11 Finale BEL- 4F- 49:05- B- 43/96
10/16/11 Vexor BEL- 4F- 48:10 B- 13/96
10/16/11 Bay Park Boy BEL- 4F- 50:06- B- 75/96
10/16/11 Jake Mo REM- 5F- 1.00:14- H- 3/14
10/17/11 She Digs Me CD- 5F- 1.02:60- B- 14/35
10/17/11 Seeker CD- 5F- 1.02:80- B- 18/35
10/17/11 Me and My Gals CD- 5F- 1.01:00- B- 1/35
10/18/11 Hansen CD- 5F- 1.04:00- B- 2/4
10/18/11 Sum of the Parts CD- 5F- 1.03:40- B- 28/39
10/18/11 Creative Cause HOL- 6F- 1.14:00- H- 1/6

Beware of Keeneland Kiddies (Bloodhorse Steve Haskin Blog)
2-year-olds to watch (In The Money Blog)
Juvenile Turf analysis 10/13 (Thoroughbred Times)
Northern KY horse Hansen getting Kentucky Derby buzz (Cincinnati Business Courier- Subscription required)

Notable Performer

Calmer Than You
10/15/11 Hawthorne Maiden Special Weight
Trainer: James DiVito
Jockey: Francisco Giles
Chart: Equibase
Beyer/BRIS: 88/95

Whether the name is an ode to the oft-quoted cult movie “The Big Lebowski” or not, Calmer Than You didn’t necessarily live up to his name or the laid back demeanor of The Dude. Hustled to the lead in the early running, Calmer Than You extended his lead with almost every stride of the race eventually winning by over 10 lengths.

The race was a rapid improvement from his first try almost two months ago.  Whether he can step up in class is a mystery at this point, but he could prefer a stretch out in distance being the son of Congrats, a stakes winner at 8.5 furlongs and stakes placed at 10 furlongs. The dam is a half sister to Love Of Money, winner of the 9 furlong Pennsylvania Derby

Calmer Than You was a $175,000 purchase at the June 2-year-olds in training sale. His catalog page can be view here

Speed Figures
Top winning 2yo BRIS figs last week: Secret Circle - 103; Coalition - 97; Calmer Than You - 95; Jenna's Wabbit - 9

Winning 2yo Beyers last week: Secret Circle - 97; Coalition - 79; Calmer Than You - 88; Jenna's Wabbit – 79

*Source: DerbyContenders Twitter

2011 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile: Wynn Las Vegas / Scores and Odds
2012 Kentucky Derby: Wynn Las Vegas / Lucky’s / GoHorseBetting