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Showing posts with label Brother Francis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Brother Francis. Show all posts

Blinkers off for Creative Cause, good idea?// Dominguez set to go on Alpha in Wood// Updated contenders and rankings

I will freely admit I have no experience in training thoroughbred racehorses.  That fact doesn’t stop me from questioning certain tactics and decisions trainers make with their horses.  Mike Harrinton, trainer of Creative Cause, announced Tuesday the colt will race in the Santa Anita Derby (G1) without blinkers for the first time in his racing career.  The obvious and simple question is why? Creative Cause is a multiple graded stakes winner, comes off an impressive victory in the contentious San Felipe (G2), has shown no regression in his 3-year-old form, and sits among the top 3 in most Kentucky Derby contender rankings.  So, the obvious question seems legitimate.  Harrington states the equipment change is due to the fact Creative Cause is wandering and unfocused in most of his races.  I still feel it carries more risk than reward.  Although the race after the Santa Anita Derby (G1) is more important, Saturday’s prep is still a key launching pad and a change in routine this late in the game could veer things off course at an inopportune time.  Creative Cause worked 4-furlongs at Hollywood Wood Park Tuesday in 48:40// Excuses are plentiful in the DRF feature on Brother Francis, who has yet to win a race despite remaining on the Derby Trail and sitting at #31 on the graded earnings list. Trainer Jim Cassidy believes multiple obstacles have blocked the colt from finishing first in four starts and they will try to reverse their fortune in Saturday’s Santa Anita Derby// Ramon Dominguez is on target to ride Alpha in Saturday’s Wood Memorial (G1).  His recovery from a separated collarbone has stayed on schedule.  Dominguez could have a tough decision to make come Derby time as he rides both Hansen and Alpha.  If Alpha moves on to the Kentucky Derby he would be the first entrant for owner Sheik Mohammed to not have prepped in Dubai ahead of the race // Trainer Jonathan Sheppard was happy with Ever So Lucky’s workout at Keeneland Tuesday.  The graded stakes placed runner will work again next Tuesday ahead of the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)// Updated contender list and CTD Top 5 rankings can be found below…   

CTD Contenders


CTD Top 5


Articles
Transylvania Stakes: Bloodhorse / TTimes
Hype springs eternal (Bloodhorse Blog)
They all get beat (Hansen Blog via Courier Journal)


Works
Ever So Lucky- KEE- 5F- 59:40- H- 4/19
Creative Cause- HOL- 4F- 48:40- H- 5/14


Other Rankings
Paulick Derby Index 4/3 (Paulick Report)


Weekly Speed Figures*
Top 3yo winning BRIS figs last week: Take Charge Indy-104; Derby Gold & Ez Effort-100; Sachem Spirit-96; Unstoppable U & Hero of Order-95

Winning 3yo Beyers last week: Take Charge Indy-95; Derby Gold-93; Ez Effort-87; Sachem Spirit-85; Unstoppable U-79; Hero of Order-90.

*Source: DerbyContenders via Twitter

Dullahan makes 3YO debut in Palm Beach, faces 5 others// Fed Biz back on track// More news on Saturday Derby preps

Grade 1 winner Dullahan will make his 2012 debut on turf in the Palm Beach Stakes (G2) at Gulfstream. His connections are hoping to take the same path to Kentucky they took with Paddy O’Prado in 2010.  The Palm Beach only drew six total entries and will really not offer much of a read either way on where Dullahan fits with other serious Derby contenders. Entries and a link to free PPs are below// Jason Shandler points out the Tampa Bay Derby has had more impact on the Kentucky Derby than any other prep race in the last five years.  The race has produced 2 Derby winners and a third-place finisher.  Shandler likes Take Charge Indy, Spring Hill Farm, Battle Hardened, and Cozetti in this year’s running, all of which I’m inclined to agree in that order// Jay Privman notes that maiden winner Bodemeister is the only entry in the San Felipe (G2) to earn a triple digit Beyer speed figure, yet most of the other nine challengers are more experienced and accomplished.  Bodemeister is the second choice at 3-1 right behind favorite Creative Cause at 5-2// Trainer Bob Baffert posted on his Twitter account that Fed Biz, a horse that was suppose to run in the San Felipe, returned to the track Thursday and seems to have recovered from his stomach cramping.  The Santa Anita Derby (G1) or Wood Memorial (G1) will offer his only shot at joining the Kentucky Derby field// Brother Francis, a multiple graded stakes placed colt, is still eligible for maiden level racing.  He’ll try to get his first win Saturday and move onto the Santa Anita Derby// Lots of handicapper picks linked below// For PPs, articles, and picks for all weekend Derby preps go to the upcoming page here  


Palm Beach Stakes (G2)
Preview Articles: Bloodhorse / Brisnet


San Felipe (G2), Tampa Bay Derby (G2), Swale (G2)- For free PPs, articles, and picks click here


Articles
Rebel plan comes together (Arkansas News)


Handicapper Picks

San Felipe: Dick’s Picks (The Downey Profile) / That Handicapping Show (Bloodhorse), San Felipe up for grabs (Thoroughbred Horse Racing Blog)

Tampa Bay Derby: Commish’s Picks (The Downey Profile), TP Derby in national spotlight (Iron Maidens Thoroughbreds) The Derby trail runs through… Tampa? (Bloodhorse Blog)


Works
Right to Vote- PMM- 6F- 1.14:40- B- 1/1
Bourbon Courage- FG- 5F- 1.01:60- B- 8/16


Notes and bits from web and Twitter:
“Fed Biz went back to track today. Looked good. Maybe Santa Anita Derby or Wood next”- Bob Baffert via Twitter