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Showing posts with label Fed Biz. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fed Biz. Show all posts

Fed Biz latest off Derby trail/ El Padrino quick in work// No one scared of Union Rags?

We shouldn’t be surprised seeing as it happens every year and practically on a weekly basis along the Derby trail, but when a highly regarded contender is ruled out it stings every time.  Fed Biz, a lightly raced yet ultra impressive maiden and allowance winner needs time off due to a hind leg injury and will miss the Kentucky Derby.  Although he sat at $0 on the Graded Earnings list (updated below), Fed Biz would have been among the favorites in his next Derby prep try// Not sure if it’s prestige, timing, convenience, or inside politicking, but the Florida Derby (G1) is looking like a ridiculously contentious spot and inevitable key race for the Kentucky Derby.  Led by Derby favorite Union Rags, the race could feature top contenders El Padrino and Alpha along with respected Take Charge Indy and News Pending.  Logically you would think El Padrino would fly back to Louisiana and Alpha back to Aqueduct- racetracks they have mastered and million dollar preps that don’t feature Union Rags- however their experienced trainers seem to not be concerned with running into a potential buzz saw// The always odd OBS Sales stakes card took place today.  Several graded earners that looked more promising last year than this year, Vexor and Big Blue Nation, failed to fire. First time starter Crafty Unicorn beat the latter in the 1 1/16 mile stakes// Steve Haskin released his always informative Derby Dozen.  He has Creative Cause in the top spot// more…


Graded Earnings
Updated Graded Earnings List (Churchill Downs)


Updated Contender List
CTD Contenders updated 3/12 (Chasing The Derby)


Articles


Rankings


Works
Swag Daddy- AQU- 5F- 1.00:11- B- 1/5
I'll Have Another- HOL- 1M- 1.42:60- H- 1/1
Stoney Fleece- SA- 5F- 1.01:00- H- 10/28
Drill- SA- 4F- 50:20- H- 16/21
Discreet Dancer- PMM- 4F- 49:44- B- 22/40
Windsurfer- PMM- 4F- 49:03- B- 12/40
Ender Knievel- PMM- 5F- 1.01:01 B- 4/13
El Padrino- PMM- 4F- 48:08 B- 2/40
Gemologist- PMM- 4F- 49:77- B- 25/40
Z Dager- FG- 5F- 1.01:80- B- 7/24 (Good)
Shared Property- FG- 5F- 1.02:60 B- 19/24 (Good)
Adirondack King- OP- 4F- 49:40- 2/12 (Muddy)
Reckless Jerry- OP- 4F- 49:40 B- 3/12 (Muddy)
Sabercat- OP- 4F- 50:80- 6/12 (Muddy)


Notes and bits from web and Twitter
“Getting the sense most think Mark Valeski is fraudulent. I keep reading El Padrino's skinny win over MV as knock on EP. I think otherwise”- Marcus Hersch via Twitter

Dullahan makes 3YO debut in Palm Beach, faces 5 others// Fed Biz back on track// More news on Saturday Derby preps

Grade 1 winner Dullahan will make his 2012 debut on turf in the Palm Beach Stakes (G2) at Gulfstream. His connections are hoping to take the same path to Kentucky they took with Paddy O’Prado in 2010.  The Palm Beach only drew six total entries and will really not offer much of a read either way on where Dullahan fits with other serious Derby contenders. Entries and a link to free PPs are below// Jason Shandler points out the Tampa Bay Derby has had more impact on the Kentucky Derby than any other prep race in the last five years.  The race has produced 2 Derby winners and a third-place finisher.  Shandler likes Take Charge Indy, Spring Hill Farm, Battle Hardened, and Cozetti in this year’s running, all of which I’m inclined to agree in that order// Jay Privman notes that maiden winner Bodemeister is the only entry in the San Felipe (G2) to earn a triple digit Beyer speed figure, yet most of the other nine challengers are more experienced and accomplished.  Bodemeister is the second choice at 3-1 right behind favorite Creative Cause at 5-2// Trainer Bob Baffert posted on his Twitter account that Fed Biz, a horse that was suppose to run in the San Felipe, returned to the track Thursday and seems to have recovered from his stomach cramping.  The Santa Anita Derby (G1) or Wood Memorial (G1) will offer his only shot at joining the Kentucky Derby field// Brother Francis, a multiple graded stakes placed colt, is still eligible for maiden level racing.  He’ll try to get his first win Saturday and move onto the Santa Anita Derby// Lots of handicapper picks linked below// For PPs, articles, and picks for all weekend Derby preps go to the upcoming page here  


Palm Beach Stakes (G2)
Preview Articles: Bloodhorse / Brisnet


San Felipe (G2), Tampa Bay Derby (G2), Swale (G2)- For free PPs, articles, and picks click here


Articles
Rebel plan comes together (Arkansas News)


Handicapper Picks

San Felipe: Dick’s Picks (The Downey Profile) / That Handicapping Show (Bloodhorse), San Felipe up for grabs (Thoroughbred Horse Racing Blog)

Tampa Bay Derby: Commish’s Picks (The Downey Profile), TP Derby in national spotlight (Iron Maidens Thoroughbreds) The Derby trail runs through… Tampa? (Bloodhorse Blog)


Works
Right to Vote- PMM- 6F- 1.14:40- B- 1/1
Bourbon Courage- FG- 5F- 1.01:60- B- 8/16


Notes and bits from web and Twitter:
“Fed Biz went back to track today. Looked good. Maybe Santa Anita Derby or Wood next”- Bob Baffert via Twitter

Fields set for San Felipe, Tampa Bay Derby, and Swale// Hansen back in KY

Although the San Felipe (G2) is missing some once expected headliners: Sham (G3) winner Out of Bounds (off the trail), Delta Jackpot (G3) winner Sabercat (heading to the Rebel Stakes instead), and highly regarded Fed Biz (stomach cramps), it is still a stronger field as a whole than any recent Kentucky Derby prep.  Out of the ten challengers, two have won graded stakes, four are graded stakes placed, and another is a listed stakes winner. Also, two horses not among that group of seven, Bodemeister and Blingo, come into the race with a lot of Derby buzz based on impressive maiden wins and recent training. Trainer Jack Carava has already stated that his entry American Act is only 50-50 to run in the San Felipe and may wait for the Sunland Derby(G3)// The Tampa Bay Derby (G2) field of twelve appears stronger than its preceding prep race the Sam Davis (G3). Three out of the four top finishers of the Sam Davis return, including winner Battle Hardened, and they will have to face highly touted Take Charge Indy and Todd Pletcher-trained Spring Hill Farm among others. Tampa Bay Downs published an extremely thorough evaluation of past Tampa Bay Derbys and what to look for in this year’s edition by Peter Mallett, and it’s linked below// Ever So Lucky, who has suffered some recent foot bruising, seems on track to make Saturday’s 7-furlong Swale (G2) at Gulfstream. That field drew 10 colts and geldings, with Motor City being the most accomplished based on his win in the Iroquois (G3) at Churchill last Fall.  The distance of the Swale probably suits others instead, but the race is a mere steppingstone to bigger and better things. Todd Pletcher’s Thunder Moccasin was a surprise non-entry in the Swale, and no reason was given as to why the Hutcheson (G2) winner will skip the race// Full entries and a link to pps for all graded races on Saturday can be found below…

San Felipe Stakes (G2)

Tampa Bay Derby (G2)
Preview Articles: Bloodhorse / DRF / Brisnet / Courier Journal

Swale Stakes (G2)
Preview Articles: Bloodhorse / Brisnet / TTimes

Articles
3YOs to watch 3/7 (In The Money Blog)


Works
Majestic Stride- OP- 5F- 1.02:20- B- 5/13
Animal Spirits- FG- 4F- 49:40- B- 15/44


Rankings
DRF Top 20 (DRF)
Top 22 (isportsweb)


Notes and bits from web and Twitter:
“Jack Carava told @HRTVHOST American Act is 50-50 to run in San Felipe. The Sunland Derby is the other option”- HRTVHOST via Twitter

“Groovin Solo and Liaison will run with blinkers off in San Felipe” – TrifectaBox via Twitter

Gotham draws 13, Hansen gets bad post// Consortium, Junebugred latest off Trail// Future Wager Pool #2 odds released

The Gotham Stakes (G3) drew a big field of 13, highlighted by the entry of 2-year-old Champion Hansen.  He was assignd the unfortunate post #12, which is not optimal on the Aqueduct inner track.  Nonetheless, Hansen is the overwhelming favorite at 6-5.  Second choice is My Adonis at 5-1, who trailed Hansen by just a half-length at the wire in the Holy Bull (G3).  There are several other contenders who could be maturing at the right time and on the verge of a breakout performance.  Raconteur, Side Road, and Stealcase are ones we’ll keep an eye on. Entries and preview articles for the Gotham below// More defections from the Trail Wednesday.  Consortium was withheld from the Gotham due to an ankle chip and will not point for the Derby.  That same injury was attributed to Junebugred, winner of the Smarty Jones Stakes and a disappointing 6th in the Southwest (G3).  Also, catching up to a bit of old news, Bob Baffert’s Sky Kingdom will be out 60 days which knocks him off the Trail as well// The morning line odds for the Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool #2 were released.  Once again ‘All Others’ are favored at 3-1, however Union Rags is close behind at 4-1. A little surprised to see allowance winner Fed Biz is the third choice at 12-1.  It will be interesting to see if the public keeps him that low.  Six new individual horses were added: Bodemeister, Castaway, Mark Valeski, News Pending, Scatman, and Secret Circle// Speaking of Scatman, trainer Michael Lauer says his phone has been ringing steadily with calls from reporters ever since Scatman challenged Secret Circle all the way to the wire in the Southwest.  The colt will try the Rebel (G2) next, which could setup a rematch if Secret Circle ships back// Bob Baffert’s Fed Biz and Liaison had extended 6-furlongs works and are still on track for the San Felipe// Currency Swap, winner of the Hopeful (G1) last year, is training slowly for a return to racing.  Trainer Teresa Pompay says the colt will ideally race in an allowance at Gulfstream followed by a Derby prep// more…


Gotham Stakes (G3)
Preview articles: NYRA / Bloodhorse / Brisnet / DRF


Articles
On the farm: the weaning of Hansen (Hansen Blog via Courier Journal)
Currency Swap getting late start (The Downey Profile)
3-year-olds to watch 2/28 (In The Money Blog)


Rankings
Super Six Derby Pix (They Are Off Blog)


Works
Motor City- PMM- 4F- 52:22- B- 20/20
Animal Spirits- FG- 3F- 37:80- B- 11/14
Night Tide- SA- 7F- 1.25:60- H- 1/2
Liaison- SA- 6F- 1.13:80- H- 4/12
Fed Biz- SA- 6F- 1.13:40- H- 3/12
Brother Francis- SA- 6F- 1.12:00- H- 1/12

Fed Biz gets a race date, works slow// No blinkers for El Padrino// More press for Starlight// New rankings

Although a mere allowance winner as of now, Fed Biz has received Kentucky Derby buzz befitting a February 3-year-old stakes winner.  Bob Baffert announced Fed Biz will get his first graded stakes attempt in the San Felipe (G2) at Santa Anita.  The colt worked a rather pedestrian 6 furlongs Wednesday. Stablemate Liaison also got an extended one mile work at Santa Anita and his move was slow as well, just as Baffert intended// Nice feature story on former Kentucky Governor Brereton Jones and trainer Larry Jones who have two colts- Mr. Bowling and Mark Valeski- in Saturday’s Risen Star (G2).  The trainer admits he hasn’t figured out how good either colt is, which is a major reason for running them against each other at the Fair Grounds.  They’ll have to face the favorite El Padrino who Todd Pletcher considered adding blinkers to for the race.  He decided against it based on the colt’s progression and laid-back attitude// More feature articles on Starlight Stable and Jack Wolf// Entries were drawn for the Miracle Wood Stakes at Laurel.  The 7 furlong contest appears to not have any serious Kentucky Derby contenders, but graded stakes placed Friscan could advance himself along the trail with a win//Another 3-year-old stakes race this coming weekend that will not get the attention of the Fountain of Youth or Risen Star is the Borderland Derby at Sunland Park.  Isn’t He Clever is favored and he’ll try to get back to winning ways off his 4th place finish in the Robert Lewis (G2) at Santa Anita// For Facebook users, be sure to “like” the relatively new CTD Facebook page here to receive update notices on the site// more…

Articles
3-year-olds to watch 2/22 (In The Money Blog)
Bloodlines of KY Derby runners 2007-2011 (And Down The Stretch They Come)


Rankings


Works
Liaison SA- 1M- 1.43:00- H- 1/2
Fed Biz SA- 6F- 1.16:00 H- 7/9
Brother Francis SA- 5F- 1.00:60- H- 3/10
Twelve Hundred HAW- 5F- 49:00- B- 1/23
Night Tide SA- 4F- 48:40- B- 11/18
Animal Spirits FG- 3F- 38:00- B- 10/13

Fed Biz gets 97 Beyer, Wood might be next// Southwest looks crowded// ‘All Others’ remain favorite in KDFW

Fed Biz earned a 97 Beyer speed figure for his much buzzed-about allowance at Santa Anita Thursday.  That number puts him among the top 10 in his class for speed.  Trainer Bob Baffert mentioned the Wood Memorial (G1) could be a target, which would basically give him one shot to get enough earnings for the Kentucky Derby// Todd Pletcher hopes to work Discreet Dancer on Monday and have him ready for the Fountain of Youth (G2)// The potential field for the Southwest could swell to 13//  “All others” remain the favorite in the Kentucky Derby Future Wager pool #1 after day one.  Union Rags was the individual favorite at 8-1 while Algorithms slid to 17-1. All this as of 9pm Friday// Princess Arabella, one of 6 fillies nominated to the Triple Crown, is entered in an allowance Sunday at Santa Anita// more…


Upcoming
Hutcheson Stakes (G2)- race page with PPs, race replays, articles, and picks here

Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool #1


Articles
Summer Sun has nothing on Derby scramble (St. George Daily Spectrum)


Video:


Works
Done Talking- LRL- 6F- 1.13:00- H- 1/1
Shkspeare Shaliyah- BEL- 3F- 36:62- B- 5/14
Stoney Fleece- HOL- 4F- 50:80- H- 28/29
Casual Trick- PMM- 4F- 48:02- B- 1/36

Picks

Notes and bits from web and Twitter:
On Fire Baby will be pointed toward the $125,000 Grade 3 Honeybee Stakes @OaklawnRacing on March 10- Brian Zipse via Twitter

Carla Gaines says Midnight Transfer is "doing great". Could be headed for showdown with Fed Biz in San Felipe- TVGResearch via Twitter

Fed Biz could be the real deal// Classics unlikely for Thunder Moccasin// Rough trip for Stat's comeback

In general, only stakes race results generate a quick turnaround in the thoroughbred news media world.  Facts, videos, charts, and analysis trickle in hours and sometimes days after the race.  However, when a nearly one million dollar 3-year-old trained by Bob Baffert dominates an optional claiming race at Santa Anita three months before the Kentucky Derby, news tends to spread just as quick, if not quicker. Fed Biz, the lone CTD Contender to have only a maiden win on his resume, handled his step-up to allowance company with ease in the 3rd race at Santa Anita.  His winning margin was 5 3/4 lengths, and he covered the mile in 1.34:74.  The Baffert charge, who jockey Rafael Bejarano already claimed as his “Derby horse”, will undoubtedly point to a graded stakes next time out. Consulado was behind him for the place and well clear of 3rd place finisher Blueskiesnrainbows by 6 1/2 lengths//

Todd Pletcher admitted he’s putting Thunder Moccasin in a tough spot for his second race, the 7-furlong Hutcheson Stakes (G2).  However, based on recent training and the fact the 2-3-4 finishers from his maiden score came back to win (2nd place Panthro has won twice), he feels he has a shot.  Pletcher also revealed he feels Thunder Moccasin would not excel at added distance//

In addition to Fed Biz’s race, another important allowance contest took place Thursday.  Race 8 at Gulfstream marked the return of Pletcher-trained Stat, who was 2nd to Union Rags last time out in the Saratoga Special (G2) in August.  After a hop at the break and racing wide most of the way Thursday, the best Stat could finish was 4th, but only a length-and-a-half behind the winner Maan//

Several articles on both the joy and perils of wagering on the Kentucky Derby futures// more…

Articles
Fed Biz impresses (Zipse At The Track Blog)
I always believed in futures (Twinspires Blog)

Video:
Robert Lewis Recap (TwinSpires)


Works
Hammers Terror- FG- 4F- 50:40- B- 20/29
Majestic Stride- OP- 7F- 1.28:00- B- 1/1
Consortium- PMM- 4F- 50:90- B- 36/43
Souper Speedy- PMM- 4F- 51:49- B- 40/43
Mr. Style- PMM- 4F- 49:88 B- 21/43
Night Tide- SA- 5F- 59:00- H- 2/29


Hutcheson Handicapper Picks
Dick’s Picks (The Downey Profile)


Notes and bits from web and Twitter:
Todd Pletcher on Discreet Dancer: bloodwork returned normal, he's doing better; will work Monday and still on track for Fountain of Youth- J.J. Hysell Trifecta Box via Twitter

Currency Swap returns to work tab, Secret Circle and other contenders breeze// Revised dosage for Hansen// Beggarthyneighbor gets black type

The weekend is always busy with Kentucky Derby contender workouts, and Saturday was no exception.  Most notable was the return of Currency Swap to the work tab.  The Hopeful (G1) winner has been out of training since that victory in September due to an ankle chip.  He went an easy 3 furlongs in 36:60, with a little reported perspiration.  Trainer Teresa Pompay says the Florida Derby (G1) is the logical target but they could ship outside of Florida if he’s not ready by March 31.  Either way, the colt will only have one race before the Kentucky Derby, if he even has enough graded earnings to make it// Secret Circle, 2nd last time out as the favorite in the two-turn Sham (G3) fired a bullet 5 furlongs at Santa Anita.  Bob Baffert has not made an official decision on whether the colt is pointing to the Southwest (G3) or one-turn San Vicente (G2).  Highly touted maiden winners Fed Biz and Unbridled’s Note also worked at Santa Anita, and surprise Gulfstream Park Derby Stakes winner Reveron went a slow 4 furlongs at Calder// Good investigating work by Dick Downey.  He revealed that Hansen’s dosage index, a pedigree statistic that indicates a horse’s ability to handle classic distances, was incorrectly reported.  The revised index is 3.50 from the original 5.40, which now puts Hansen in the sub 4.00 category.  Only five Kentucky Derby winners since 1940 have had an index above 4.00// Interesting video interview below with John Avello, director of the Wynn Las Vegas Sportsbook.  However, are we really supposed to believe they’re taking risks on accepting future wagers when a majority of horses won’t even make the Kentucky Derby, much less win it?// Beggarthyneighbor won the Dancing Count S. at Laurel Saturday.  The 8-5 favorite stayed close to pacesetting Costas Fiftieth, before splitting foes late in the stretch for the win// Big trail race Sunday with the return of champion 2-year-old Hansen who will duel against lightly raced but promising Algorithms and Consortium among others.  Free pps, handicapper picks, and race replays can be viewed at the below link…

Holy Bull S. (G3)- race page with pps, race videos, articles and more here

Results
Dancing Count Stakes- Laurel Park- Winner: Beggarthyneighbor- chart

Articles


Works
Currency Swap- GP- 3F- 36:60- B- 5/14
King Kid- GP- 5F- 59:95- H- 3/36
Burning Time- CRC- 4F- 50:20- B- 43/86
Reveron- CRC- 4F- 52:00 B- 72/86
State of Play- TAM- 4F- 48:60- B- 5/56
Atigun- OP- 4F- 49:80- 18/92
Chips All In- SA- 7F- 1.29:00- H- 4/4
Secret Circle- SA- 5F- 58:60- H- 1/61
Unbridled's Note- SA- 5F- 59:60- H- 6/61
Fed Biz- SA- 6F- 1.12:80- H- 3/16
Creative Cause- HOL- 6F- 1.11:60- H- 1/19
Ted's Folly- FG- 5F- 1.01:60- B- 13/67
Battle Hardened PMM- 5F- 1.01:33 B- 14/33
Prospective PMM- 5F- 1.03:04- B- 31/33
Mr. Style PMM- 3F- 37:85- B- 5/11


Notes and bits from web and Twitter:
“With @GulfstreamPark tab out... Currency Swap 36.4, out 51.1 ~ rider told us it was intended to be very easy; was lil washy in no humidity”- Grade1Racing via Twitter