Speed figures from Southwest, Rebel already looks crowded// Union Rags vs. Algorithms looms// New Kentucky Derby futures, rankings

As the dust settles from a recent string of Kentucky Derby prep races - four in just three days - writers, handicappers, and fans are observing the trips of the also-rans, looking for a silver lining and clues as to which horses could improve next time out.  Adirondack King, 3rd place in the second division of the Southwest (G3), fits the bill of a sneaky good performer or possible future “wise guy” horse.  Jockey Stewart Elliott claimed he had nowhere to run in the far turn and was forced to sit and wait in second-to-last place.  Once Adirondack King got through the turn he was able to make a fast closing move for 3rd, although still 6 lengths behind the winner Secret Circle due to the short stretch.  Trainer John Servis will point the son of Lawyer Ron to the Rebel (G2).  Also pointing for the Rebel will be 2nd place Scatman, who set the pace in the Southwest and gave Secret Circle all he could handle in the stretch.  Bob Baffert said he’ll also send a horse or two to the Rebel, but which one from his long list of Derby contenders will not be revealed anytime soon// Beyer Speed figures came back for the Southwest.  Secret Circle bested his stablemate Castaway by a 10 point margin (102 to 92)// Wynn Las Vegas published updated future odds just after the Southwest.  Castaway dropped to 35-1 and Secret Circle to 22-1// Trainer Larry Jones commented that both of his charges in the Risen Star (G2), Mr. Bowling and Mark Valeski, will hopefully sit just off the pacesetters Saturday at the Fairgrounds// Buzz is building for Sunday’s Fountain of Youth (G2), which will feature arguably the top two Derby contenders in Union Rags and Algorithms.  Some nice humble quotes from Algorithms owner Jack Wolf who admits his horse benefitted from Hansen’s bad break and Consortium not taking to the track in the Holy Bull (G3).  Michael Matz is very pleased with Union Rags’s physical and mental growth, but reveals the screws will not be fully tightened Sunday because the colt already has enough Graded Earnings for the Derby// Some updates on Steve Asmussen contenders Z Dager, Sabercat, and Daddy Nose Best from the Bloodhorse// Steve Haskin has a new Derby Dozen, yet still has recent San Vicente (G2) 3rd place finisher Creative Cause at #1.  Reading the description, I’m not sure Steve even agrees with himself// more…

Tailgate-Illinois Derby and Hawthorne thinking blue (Hansen Blog via Courier Journal)



Ever So Lucky- GP-5F- 1.00:65- H- 7/11
Big Screen GP- 5F- 59:60- H- 2/11
Optimizer- OP- 3F- 36:20- B- 1/2
Rousing Sermon- HOL- 5F- 1.01:80- H- 5/8
Stoney Fleece- HOL- 5F- 1.02:80- H- 7/8

Weekly Speed Figures 2/13-2/19*
Top 3yo winning BRIS figs last week: Drill-104; Daddy Nose Best-101; Sir Bond-100; Bling King-99; Scatter Joy-97; Points Offthebench-96

3yo winning Beyers last week: Drill-94; Daddy Nose Best-92; Sir Bond-91; Bling King-85; Scatter Joy-85; Points Offthebench-87

*Source: DerbyContenders via Twitter